Service Plays Friday 4/9/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

New Addition to Service Play Forum..Specifically for posting additional topics.

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

The Rx.com will not tolerate posters that post false records of any services they track. Please be truthful if you decide to track a particular service.

Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Thank you, wilheim.......

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

cpaw rx is on facebook

:toast:

 

[ugk]

NBA NEWS AND NOTES
GAME OF THE DAY Suns at Thunder
By Lee Kostroski

Playoff push begins

There is a very tight race in the West for the second-overall spot and home-court advantage for the teams seeded No. 1 through No. 4. The Lakers are locked into the No. 1 spot but Dallas, Denver, Utah, Phoenix, San Antonio and Oklahoma City are all fighting for the fourth seed or better.

The good news for Oklahoma City is that it is in the postseason. The bad news is that it sits in the eighth spot and would have to face the Lakers in the first round. The Thunder are currently tied with Portland and San Antonio in the standings and could move up as they get the Suns at home and also face the Blazers next week.

Suns on the rise

The Suns got a important 112-101 win over San Antonio Wednesday, which moved them into a tie for the second-best record in the West with Dallas and Denver. However, they are actually the fourth seed right now because Dallas and Denver are division leaders.

In their win over the Spurs, the Suns survived a close game throughout but finished strong and put the Spurs out of their misery in the fourth quarter .After a timeout, the Suns lineup of four subs and Grant Hill beat a Spurs team that had played at Sacramento a night earlier and had to bring Tony Parker off the bench in his second game back from a broken finger.

The Suns, coming off three-days' rest, went on a 19-7 run out of that fourth-quarter timeout, starting with a Jared Dudley 3-pointer and ending with two Goran Dragic steals that led to his 3-point play and a Hill slam for a 109-92 lead with 3:58 to go.

"JD (Dudley) did a really good job on limiting (Manu) Ginobili and we tried to limit (Duncan's) touches as much as we could," Suns coach Alvin Gentry told reporters. "We tried to be as active as we can and we tried to change it up as much as we could."

"It was pretty physical both ways," forward Louis Amundson told the media. "That's going to be playoff basketball for us. We've got to get ready for that intensity."

The Suns had won 10 straight games prior to losing to the Bucks in Milwaukee Sunday and, after Thursday's win, now stand 11-1 SU their last 12 games overall. Only one of those ten victories came by less than six points.

The Suns have been outstanding on the road lately, having won 12 of their last 15 away. But a closer look tells the real story as just four of those wins came against teams with a .500 or better record.

Stormy weather in OKC

On Tuesday night, the Thunder were jobbed by officials on a last-second call and should have won a critical game in Utah. Kevin Durant (90 percent free throw shooter) was fouled on the last shot of the game but a call was never made. The Thunder then lost a heartbreaker Thursday to the Nuggets, 98-94, which pushed them to the eighth in the West and three games behind the fourth-seeded Suns.

Oklahoma City led the Nuggets by 13-points with just 7:13 to play but managed to make just eight free throws and didn't convert a field goal in the final nine minutes of the game. The Thunder missed their final 11 shots and committed three turnovers in a four-possession span that let the Nuggets back into the game.

A lot had to do with the fact that the Thunder were playing their fourth game in a five-day span and the second night of a back-to-back. In a game when they should have been driving to the basket the Thunder chose to shoot from the perimeter.

"We settled," Jeff Green told the press. "We didn't try to be aggressive."

The Thunder are the youngest team in the league and are clearly learning the ropes when it comes to playoff basketball. Head coach Scott Brooks even made some strategic mistakes last night as he didn't use his bench enough when his starting five were fighting exhaustion.

"That's part of getting better," Brooks admitted to reporters. "Figuring it out if things aren't going your way."

Oklahoma City had been on a very impressive roll since late January. It has won 24-of-31 games but since dropped two very big contests to the Jazz and Nuggets. The Thunder are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games at home but that record is a little misleading as just three of those nine have come against winning teams.

Head to head

In the two regular season meetings, the road team has won both times. Back in December, the Thunder went into Phoenix as 8.5-point underdogs and won 117-113. The Thunder led by as many as 15 points in that game and were never really threatened. The glaring difference in that contest was a plus-10 rebounding advantage for the Thunder and a plus-3 turnover differential. Both teams shot well, over 47 percent from the field each.

In the most recent meeting in late February, the Suns captured a 104-102 win in OKC. In this game the Suns were plus-10 in rebounds and shot 51.3 percent as a team which proved to be the difference. Interestingly enough, Steve Nash didn't play in that game but Goran Dragic filled in with 16 points and 10 assists.

Trends

The underdog is a money-making 7-2-1 ATS the last 10 meetings between these two teams. The Suns are 9-2 ATS their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Thunder are 4-1 ATS their last 5 games versus a team with a winning road record.

Ironically, both teams are very good playing on Friday nights as the Suns are 16-4-1 ATS their last 21 while the Thunder are 13-3 ATS their last 16 Fridays.

The Suns are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a SU win. Oklahoma City is 45-20 ATS in its last 65 games following a SU loss.

 

[ugk]

PICK 'N' ROLL

Today's best NBA bets

Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs (-10.5, 200)

The San Antonio Spurs have cooled their heels since losing point guard George Hill, forcing a formerly red-hot Manu Ginobili to move to the point.

Former starter Tony Parker has returned from a long layoff but was largely ineffective in his first game back Wednesday, when the Spurs snapped a 6-1 SU and ATS run with a 112-101 loss to the Phoenix Suns.

Ginobeli, who averaged 25.8 points per game last week in earning NBA POW honors for the West, was held to 10 points in 38 minutes in against the Suns. Eighteen turnovers didn't help, but that what happens without enough ballhandlers on the floor.

"There were too many things that we could have taken care of that were simple," Tim Duncan told reporters after the game. "Just turning the ball over, missed free throws. We had a bunch of missed assignments defensively. That's a lot of things that we can clean up. It's a disappointing game for us, but such is life."

Hill is questionable for tonight's game with the ankle injury. If he plays or Parker picks up the pace, Ginobeli should be able to get his groove back against Grizzlies team that is playing out the string.

Pick: Spurs


Milwaukee Bucks at Philadelphia 76ers (4.5, 195)

The Bucks were expected to struggle after losing Andrew Bogut, but they have gotten production from an unexpected source.

Journeyman Kurt Thomas, who was averaging less than 3 points and 4 rebounds per game in limited time before the loss of Bogut, has stepped up to average 8.7 points and 10.3 rebounds in 30 minutes in the three games since.

Thomas isn't the only Buck stepping up his play. John Salmons has averaged 24 points in the last two wins and Jerry Stackhouse added 18 in the win over the Nets, but Thomas may have been the biggest surprise.

"It's two good wins for us," Salmons said. "We've got to continue to learn how to play without Bogues (Bogut). These first few games is a good step for us and hopefully we can continue doing that."

Thomas might not be able to carry the Bucks in the playoff teams against stiffer competition, but right now he seems like a surprisingly effective, albeit temporary, replacement, especially against the struggling 76ers.

Pick: Bucks

 

[ugk]

NHL NEWS AND NOTES
Top 5 NHL Favorites To Win The Stanley Cup

The players grow bad beards, skate on wrecked knees and drive in front of a hard piece of rubber traveling 100 mph just for a chance to lift Lord Stanley’s Cup.

It’s the most physical and unpredictable postseason in major pro sports, and it begins next week.

Below is a list of the top NHL favorites to win this year’s Stanley Cup along with a breakdown of the reasons for and against backing each team with a futures play.

Washington Capitals: Odds to win the Cup +400

Why they will win:

The Caps have been far and away the best team in the NHL this season. They have the best offense and the best power play in the league, and boast seven players with at least twenty goals.

The goaltending issues that many predicted have not materialized. Jose Theodore has not lost in regulation in his last 22 games and appears to be “the man” going forward. Offensively, defensively and in goal, this team is stacked.

Why they won’t win:

The absence of a meaningful game in the last month of the season could hurt this team’s chances. The Caps had the Eastern Conference wrapped up early and failed to show up in a few games down the stretch.

You have to wonder if their style of play will be as successful in the postseason. Opponents point out Washington forwards (Alex Ovechkin in particular) float outside of the defensive zone looking for odd man rushes.

It’s hard to break bad habits especially after the success Washington has had this season.

San Jose Sharks: +450

Why they will win:

To say that the Sharks are due is an epic understatement. They’ve been one of the two best regular season teams for the past three seasons but have not been able to carry that success into the playoffs.

This squad owns multiple snipers (Dany Heatley in particular), the best set-up man in the today’s game (Joe Thornton) and only the Caps scored more power play makers.

Patrick Marleau’s bounce back season and successful big game contributions by Thornton at the Olympics has Shark fans salivating.

Why they won’t win:

The Sharks’ history of playoff underachieving is a bit overwhelming. Although they have had a top three offensive unit all season long, their defense has been spotty at various times during the campaign. Just like in any sport, defense wins championships.

Goaltender Evgeni Nabokov has been solid this season but he’s yet to prove he can carry a team in an elimination game.

Pittsburgh Penguins: +500

Why they will win:

The defending champs were almost a consensus pick to win it all before the season started, and why not? All of the major pieces of their Cup winning season were returning. Sidney Crosby is another year older and experienced, Evgeni Malkin is still the best second line player in the game and Marc-Andre Fleury is still one of the best puck stoppers in the NHL.

The Pittsburgh Penguins have that rare combination of talent, experience, tradition and sheer will to win going for them.

Why they won’t win:

Recent losses to teams like Tampa Bay and Carolina have raised questions about their preparation and their desire. Malkin’s progression seemed to regress at the start of the season and recent injury troubles haven’t helped him either.

Pittsburgh’s play has been up and down all season. You have to wonder if the Pens can just flip the switch once the postseason begins.

Chicago Blackhawks: +500

Why they will win:

The Hawks own arguably the most talented roster. Up front, Patrick Kane, Jonathan Toews, Patrick Sharp and Marian Hossa all create and bury scoring chances. Brent Seabrook, Duncan Keith and Kim Johnsson control things for a group of blue liners that excel at puck possession. The Hawks play with speed, skill and passion – a good recipe for success in the Stanley Cup playoffs.

Why they won’t win:

They’ve been a different team since top-four defenseman Brian Campbell was lost for the season. Their defensive zone coverage is lacking and their transition game is a vital part of their offensive attack.

The goal scoring is down, the power play is struggling and it is partly due to the absence of Campbell.

Also, the goaltending tandem of Cristobal Huet and Antti Niemi doesn’t exactly inspire confidence. A goalie needs to have the ability to steal a game or two in the playoffs, a characteristic that neither puck stopper possesses.

New Jersey Devils: +1000

Why they will win:

The Devils have never had an offensive threat like Ilya Kovalchuk. By acquiring Kovalchuk at the trade deadline, the Devils moved from dark horse to serious contender.

Zach Parise, Jamie Langenbrunner, Travis Zajac and a healthy Patrik Elias provide the secondary scoring that is key for a long Stanley Cup playoff run.

There is also this guy named Martin Brodeur who can make an average team look elite.

Why they won’t win:

The Devils have been getting it done this season with a no-name defensive corp. They have the 22nd ranked offense and have been awful on the road to close out the season. New Jersey is the most unexceptional 100 point team in recent memory.

 

[ugk]

ICE PICKS

Today's best NHL bets

Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers (-150, 5.5)

The Rangers are battling for a playoff spot with just two games left on their schedule. Both of those games, starting Friday, come against the Philadelphia Flyers, who sit two points ahead of New York in seventh place in the Eastern Conference.

The Rangers' desperation has been evident in recent games. They are 4-1 in their last five outings, most recently knocking off the Toronto Maple Leafs, 5-1, Wednesday night. Had New York lost to the Leafs, it would have been eliminated from postseason contention.

"A lot of people thought we were dead," head coach John Tortorella told TSN. "But we just come out and play. That's all we can do."

The Rangers’ offense has been firing on all cylinders during this late-season push, scoring a total of 18 goals in the team’s last four wins. Goaltender Henrik Lundqvist also has performed well in those wins. He stopped 25 shots in the victory over Toronto for his 34th win of the season.

Against the Flyers, the Rangers are 2-2 this year with a win in their most recent contest. New York defeated Philadelphia 3-1 back in mid March, getting 17 saves from Lundqvist.

Pick: New York


Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche (125, 5.5)

The young Blackhawks are rounding into playoff mode thanks to a five-game winning streak heading into Friday night.

Chicago’s most recent victory was 6-5 goal fest against the feisty St. Louis Blues in which the Blackhawks allowed three third-period goals but held on for the narrow win.

"That wasn't the way we wanted to play in the third, but I think throughout the first two periods we came out strong," winger Kris Versteeg told the Chicago Tribune. "We were maybe a little bit fatigued there, but that's definitely not the way we want to finish off."

While Chicago was thankful for the victory, it did suffer a loss in the form of star forward Marian Hossa. The gun-for-hire left the game in the second period with an undisclosed injury and did not return. Hossa has played just 55 games this year due to ailments, scoring 24 goals and adding 26 assists.

"It's nothing serious," coach Joel Quenneville told the media. "He should be OK."

With just two games remaining on the schedule and Chicago tied with the San Jose Sharks for the top spot in the West and home-ice throughout the conference playoffs, the Blackhawks are faced with the tough choice of going hard or easing up to make sure no more key players go down. Bettors must also consider Friday’s game as a dangerous look-ahead spot, with the rival Detroit Red Wings waiting for Chitown in the season finale.

Pick: Colorado

 

[ugk]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Starting Pitchers Who Stink Away From Home

There are a number of key statistics that I look at each day when handicapping MLB. Some are team stats and some are individual. Some are offensive and some are defensive.

But most of the stats that have helped me have success handicapping MLB professionally for the last 20 years involve pitching, both starters and bullpen.

As the season progresses, one thing I like to study is what I call the starting pitcher's home-road dichotomy. Many starting hurlers have solid home numbers, but really struggle on the road. When this happens, we can pick up some nice value playing either on or against them in certain home-road situations.

Now to be upfront, many pitchers tend to be better at home, however some of them provide a drastic difference. That's where we can pick up some value.

As a guideline, here are a few starters that fell into the more dramatic home vs. away mode in 2009 that we will keep a close eye on this season.

MLB starting pitchers who didn't perform well on the road in 2009
Mike Pelphrey, Mets Home ERA: 3.72 Road ERA: 6.72 Differential: -3.00

John Lannan, Nationals Home ERA: 2.62 Road ERA: 5.42 Differential: -2.80

Ross Ohlendorf, Pirates Home ERA: 2.64 Road ERA: 5.56 Differential: -2.92

Gavin Floyd, White Sox Home ERA: 2.47 Road ERA: 5.47 Differential: -3.00

Aaron Harang, Reds Home ERA: 3.43 Road ERA: 5.18 Differential: -1.75

Wandy Rodriguez, Astros Home ERA: 2.08 Road ERA: 4.05 Differential: -1.97

Again, these are just a few starting pitchers to keep an eye on this year. By using this handicapping method, and sifting through other stats and variables involved with each game, you should be able to target some undervalued home spots along with some overvalued road situations.

 

[ugk]

HOT LINES

Today's best MLB bets

Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants (115, 8)

Are the Giants really this good or are the Astros really that bad? That’s the question every bettor has to be asking after watching San Fran sweep and out score Houston 18-6 during a three-game series.

"I think it went the way we expected," centerfielder Aaron Rowand told the San Francisco Chronicle. "We feel we have a pretty good squad here and we're capable of doing some things. We swing the bat well and have great pitching.”

It’s not like anyone doubted the Giants would be a good club this season either. San Fran improved by leaps and bounds last year, going from 72 wins in 2008 to 88 in ’09.

The offense is a bit of a surprise. Only the Pirates, Padres, Mariners and Astros scored fewer runs than the Giants in 2009.

San Fran backers better hope the offense keeps up because Atlanta’s bats have been scary good in the early going.

Pick: Over


Boston Red Sox at Kansas City Royals (135, 9.5)

David Ortiz isn’t happy. The Red Sox designated hitter was reminded about his slow start last spring after going hitless in the first two games of 2010.

He used multiple four-letter words to articulate his frustration over being picked on just two games into the season. Big Papi collected his first hit and RBI Wednesday night but that won’t keep reporters from seconding guessing Terry Francona’s lineup.

The Red Sox manager was asked if he thought about substituting Ortiz for Mike Lowell against lefties.

"No," Francona told ESPN.com. "We're two games into the season. I don't think we want to start doing that. That's not because Mikey can't hit. But the big picture needs to be remembered."

Look for Ortiz to bust out against a Kansas City club short on quality southpaws.

Pick: Red Sox

 

[ugk]

BIGFELLA SPORTS

NBA
3* Portland Trailblazers -4

NHL
3* Philadelphia Flyers +130

MLB 2-3 -5.45 ALL 1 RUN LOSSES
5* Detroit Tigers -141
5* Tampa Bay Rays -101
3* Kansas City Royals +140
2* Philadelphia Phillies -153

GOOD LUCK!

 

[TempleGrad]

RatedPicks

Biggest play of the year so far! You need to get in early before the line jumps out of reach!! This game goes of huge and puts some easy money in your pocket! We dont release 10 Unit plays often, so get on board!

MLB

Detriot Tigers -147 **10 Units

 

[goldencontender]

Friday NBA Totals play-GC

On Friday the Bonus Play in the NBA is on the Over in the Ok.City and Phoenix game. Rotation numbers 717/18 at 8:05 eastern. This game fits a nice 70% over angle that pertains to the Thunders short home favorite loss to Denver and The Suns home win over the Spurs which produced 110 or more points. This game tonight should be an up and down game with little or no defense. Phoenix has gone over 70% of the time on the road in games where they score 110 or more at home and OK.City has gone over 11 of 15 times at home off a home game where they scored 90 or more. Look for this one to play over the 222 tonight. For the Bonus Play take the Over in the Phoenix at Ok. City game. BOL GC

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Cavs (-5).

Friday: Yankees. Deficit: 260 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
426 - 311 run 58 %

Bonus Play FRI Utah Jazz -4 1/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

outlaw sports advisors
Nba
memphis grizzlies +10.5

mlb
tigers -145
cubs +120
phillies -150
redsox -155

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ace-Ace Allen Eastman 4/9 NBA
Record 130-105

+59.5 Units

NBA
726 PORTLAND-4...........................1.5u
717 PHO+3.5................................. .2u
704 ORL-11.5..................................1. 5u

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS
Bucks
Cubs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GAMBLERS DATA
WSox/Twins over 8.5 -120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Freddy Wills

Rays +105 (3-Dime Play)

Today I really like the Rays with David Price on the hill against Javier Vazquez. NO question Vazquez had one of the best seasons of any pitcher last year with a 2.87 ERA, but that was in the National League. He returns to the American League where he spent many seasons struggling with ERA's over 4.00 and I think that happens again here. TB has a lot of experience against Vazquez with 164 total AB's and a .293 average. Leading the way is Carl Crawford who has a .423 average and behind him is BJ Upton who is 6-12. In 2008 when he was a part of League A, he had a 5.10 ERA on the road and opponents had a .295 average and he was 1-2 vs. the Rays.

David Price will start his sophmore year with the Rays although he pitched in 2008 when the Rays got to the World Series he was still considered a rookie last year as he had just 14IP in 2008. Price was extremely convincing at home last year with an 8-3 record and a 2.93 ERA at Tropicana Field. He actually had three starts against the Yankees in which he pitched 18.2 innings giving up just 7 hits and 4 ER for an ERA below 2.00. In October he pitched at home and went 7 strong giving up 2 hits and 1 ER. Why is he so successful against the Yankees? The Yankees will run into this several times with that heavy hitting lefty line up. While Price gave up 16 HR to RH hitters last year he gave up only 1 to lefties who had an OPS 90 points lower than LH hitters. It is an advantage that continues today and although there are new faces in this Yankee lineup to deal with I'm confident that Price can continue to battle. Add in that the Rays are an amazing 80-30 at home in their last 110 games vs. a RH starter.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jr O'Donnell (RedZone Sports)

free internet play: Okla. City Thunder (NBA).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Steve Merril 4/9
Orioles
Reds